Hovland Forensic

Lost Profits Investigation

When a breach, theft, or disaster shrinks revenue, we rebuild the “but-for” profit world, line by line.

Missing Money Isn’t a Guess

Courts demand defensible numbers. We turn historical sales, market data, and expense records into a single, clear dollar figure that survives Daubert challenges.

What We Reconstruct

  • Historical sales trends & seasonality adjustments
  • Lost gross margin and variable-cost savings
  • Mitigation savings and avoidable expenses
  • Industry comparables & market-share shifts
  • Extra costs incurred (overtime, expedited freight, etc.)
  • Discount-rate & present-value calculations

Methodology Timeline

Pull sales, COGS, payroll, and market indices; identify gaps, anomalies, and missing periods.

Create “but-for” profit model using pre-incident trends, industry comps, and regression analysis.

Calculate net lost profits, adjust for mitigation, and compute present value to trial date.

Deliver executive summary + full workbook + deposition outline—court-ready within 10 business days.

Results Delivered for Clients

HOA Dues Theft

Management company was stealing homeowner’s dues from absent homeowners. Management company transferred funds directly from HOA bank account into their account. HOA collected on insurance policy due to fraud, management company was referred to the State for prosecution. 

Employee Embezzlement

Longtime employee was stealing customer payments on AR. Forensic tracing of timestamped reports and customer receipts clearly showed how employee was working the scheme. Employee took plea deal with DA.

Industry-Sourced Insight: ACFE Fraud Statistics

According to the “Occupational Fraud 2024: A Report to the Nations”

With losses this huge nationwide, every missing dollar hurts, see how defensible evidence flips the odds and protects what’s yours.

What data do you need?

Sales history, P&L, invoices, bank statements, and any mitigation efforts. Scans accepted.

Is the investigation billed hourly or flat-rate?

We work exclusively at a transparent $250 per hour. 

Can you testify?

Yes, our CPA has testified with zero exclusions.

Ready to Prove Your Losses?